Synthetics

$GUH & the synthetic series

A synthetic is a price, generated live, that exists for thirty seconds and then stops existing. The price is not a random number generator with a chart on top — it is driven by the order flow of the people trading it. Longs push it up, shorts push it down, liquidations shove it further, funding drags it back. Squeezes aren't animations; they're what the equation does when a crowd leans one way.

$GUH — GUH-PERP-30 parameter set
● OPEN
σ calm0.9%/√s
σ feral3.4%/√s
λ impact0.85
Impact exponent1.4 (anti-whale)
κ⁺ up jump1.0×
κ⁻ down jump2.6× — the signature
dN⁺ up rate0.05/s
dN⁻ down rate0.11/s
φ funding0.30
Regimes4 (Markov, ~6.5s dwell)
Round30s + 2s settle

$GUH's defining choice is jump asymmetry: downside jumps are 2.6× larger than upside jumps and arrive more than twice as often, offset by a positive baseline drift. The result climbs in small reassuring increments and then falls off a cliff without warning. Fourteen small green steps to build a position worth holding; one red tick to remove it.

The series

Each new ticker changes a different term of the equation and unlocks at a vault milestone — the fees aren't only buying stock, they're buying the next instrument for everyone.

TickerStatusFormula changeHow it plays
$GUHOPENκ⁻ = 2.6 κ⁺Grinds up, knifes down.
$COPIUMOPENφ = 0.90Funding cranked to violent. It always comes back — until the round ends first.
$TENDIESOPENμ_euphoria ×3Fat upside tails and long air pockets. Vertical or nothing.
$WIFESBFOPENμ < 0, κ⁺ = 2.6 κ⁻$GUH inverted. Bleeds down all round, then rips your shorts off.
$0DTEOPENσ ↑ near expiryEverything cranked over a 15-second round. The last seconds are the game.
$MARGIN.CALLOPENλ × 2The crowd moves it twice as hard. Pure reflexivity, no shelter.
$RUGPULLOPENκ⁻ maxed, rate⁻ ↓Grinds green to lure you in, then one catastrophic tick to the floor.
$CRABOPENφ = 1.20Goes nowhere. Chops both ways and liquidates the leverage off everyone, then closes flat.
$MOONBOIOPENμ_euphoria max, λ ↑Relentless vertical melt-up. Shallow dips are the only entry — if you dare.

Every instrument publishes a disclosure page exactly like this before it opens. An instrument whose numbers are not public does not list.

Creator synthetics

Anyone can design an instrument in the sandbox: tune the genes, write the next-price formula, draw randomness from the committed seed, pick the settlement rule, set a creator fee. Registering pins it on RollaSynths; every round stays replayable.

Probability synths

Instruments made of pure probability, every draw from the round's committed seed: a die rolled every second whose running mean is the price, a coin whose share of heads is pulled to 50 by the law of large numbers, a Texas Hold'em board dealt every second with the chance of a royal flush before the bell priced as a decaying option, Poisson hazards, binomial counts, and Black–Scholes calls and puts on a seeded walk with live delta, gamma, theta and vega. Memory functions (count, mean, ewma, walk) and the maths library (surv, binom, ncdf, bs…) let you compose your own — with a creator fee on every trade.

TickerCreatorRuleRoundPriceFeeVolume · earned
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